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Thread: I lost everything

Date: February 23rd
2006 Game: Roulette Players: Valdir (myself) plus a lot of other unnamed players I finished my first Roulette session report saying More stories to come from my Can$ 200
you can bet on that!
Well
unfortunately that will have to be changed to story instead of stories because
as the title says
yesterday I went back to the casino and lost everything. Pretty depressing. But hey! At least I get one :gg: out of this! (side note: this must be the most expensive :gg: ever! Can$ 200 for one :gg:
that's a bit too much!!) Anyway
I'm getting ahead of myself here. Let's start from the beginning: after my good fortune last month (read it all here:
http://www.boardgamegeek.com/thread/97058)
I was willing to go right away again
but some of my colleagues at work also wanted to go and organizing this took some time. We finally decided on the 23rd for our big night because the next day was a holiday at the university where we work
so we didn't have to worry about the time too much. A group of seven people finally agreed to join me in my caravan of hope
as I called it. At 5 pm
one of these people was in a meeting with our boss and the head of Accounts
so we had to delay our departure. These bosses
they are so insensitive! People have plans for after work
after all! While we waited
I joked that my numbers were coming up at the casino and I was losing my window of opportunity. Unfortunately the events of the night would prove that I was at least half right… Anyway
we took two cars and headed to the Jean-Drapeau Island (formerly St. Helen Island)
where the beautiful building that houses the casino is located. This building was part of the Expo 67
it was the French pavilion
a majestic gift from the French government to the people of Montreal. But I digress… I went in Fury's spacious van with Haleh
Tasia and Ali. The funny thing is that as soon as we got in the building
as we were walking towards the Roulette tables
Fury stopped by a slot machine
plumped down a quarter and out came five coins! We congratulated him
walked a bit more and he stops at another machine
inserts another coin and out came 25! Before even starting our playing
he was already up $7! Not bad
not bad. We finally reached the third floor where “my” tables are located. There are Roulette tables in many other places in the casino
but I always play at this specific spot because in most other areas the tables start at $5 or $10
which is too much for my meager means. These four tables start at $1 and $2.50. The two $1 tables are “American” (they have the extra 00 on them) while the two $2.50 are “English”. As I prefer to play against 2.7% instead of 5.3%
I took a seat at one of the English tables and requested a colour. I got the yellow chips. Fury went to the American table just in front and coincidentally also got the yellow chips. Tasia wanted to play a bit
so she stayed by my side and asked the dealer for $20 in one of the available colours. As this was the $2.50 table
she only got eight chips to play. Of course she wanted to last long
so she only put two chips on the table. But at this moment the dealer informed her that the minimum bet on that table was $10
so that she would have to play four tokens each time. This must be some new rule of the casino because I remember going there many times and starting my gaming playing only one or two tokens at a time. I can see the reason behind the rule
but it's quite annoying. Fortunately for Tasia she got one of her bets right and won a few tokens
so she could play a bit more. But she soon left the table for the other one
where she could start her betting from $5; she ended up losing her $20 though. The first thing that I did was to check the numbers that had come out in the previous fifteen turns. Each Roulette table has an electronic dis
play that lists its previous rolls to allow the “number-crunchers” like myself to do their thing without having to actually sit down for many rounds without playing. When I mark down the numbers my goal is to identify which rows of three numbers had not come out yet. In this case it had been the 13-15
16-18
25-27 and 28-30. Therefore I started with one chip in each of them. The 19 came out. Right beside my 15. Darn! Well
my betting strategy works even if I have to wait a few rounds… I put two tokens in each of the four rows. The 4 came out! I go to three tokens per row and finally in the next turn the 27 comes out
giving me a small profit (twelve tokens). Phew! Now I'm down to three rows of three (the 25-27 is crossed out) and I start again from one token on each row. The 23 comes out
then the 2 twice
11 (just beside my 30!)
35
21
36 (beside my 13!)
35 again (darn!) and finally 24 (beside my 16!) leaving me absolutely broken
all my tokens are gone
I lost everything. I just can't believe it
I look at the ball on the wheel
so close to the 16 that would have saved me and at the same time
so distant. Oh well
my casino adventures are on hold for another year
my luck having run out after only two visits this year. Some years I went to the casino as much as ten times before losing my money
but these two past years have been truly bad for me. It's disheartening! Now let's do some math here
shall we? I was playing with nine numbers and none of them come out for twelve full turns while I was at the table and for 26 turns if we count all the rolls before I joined the table. In order to calculate the chance the casino has of these nine numbers not coming out for 26 turns
the calculation is like this: (28/37)^26. And of course
for 12 turns
it is (28/37)^12. My calculator tells me that the first result is 0.07% and the second is 3.52%. Ok
I can already hear the crowd of naysayers jumping in to tell me that the wheel has no memory
so that the fourteen or fifteen turns before I joined the table cannot be taken into account. But what about when I did join the table and started playing? At that moment I can honestly expect a 96.48% chance to hit one of my nine numbers in the next twelve rounds
right? How come then the bad thing happened twice in the three times that I visited the casino? I can't explain this oddity! And to add injury to the insult
I hanged around long enough to see that in the very next turn after I left the table
the 16 came out! Twice in a row! Had I joined the table one round later
I would have been saved. Oh darn! Anyway
enough with the depressing report! As I finished early
there was nothing more for me to do than to watch the others. Fury was doing ok at the American table and didn't seem to be thinking about leaving any time soon. Therefore I joined Haleh and Tasia when they went downstairs for some slot-machine action. I didn't play
first because I didn't have any money left and secondly because I truly dislike slot machines. But I went anyway for the fair company…
Tasia put in $20 and at one time had a $10 profit
which in a slot machine isn't negligible. But she kept playing and of course lost both her profit and her initial investment. Oh
story of our lives
I guess… Haleh didn't fare much better and we were soon back near the Roulette table where Fury was playing. During this time Ali had also sat down and played. He lost around $40 before calling it quits. The other guys
who arrived much later (I had already lost all my money when they finally showed up) only came to watch
they were not going to gamble. Fury finally decided to stop
he had had a small profit
something like $5 or so. On a normal day I would call it laughable
but today I would have welcomed a profit
any profit… The guys started talking about going to some restaurant
but I was too depressed to join them
I would be bad company
so I just accepted a ride back to town
took the su
bway and came home. This was a truly sad night for me
I wasn't expecting to lose everything so fast. Oh well
there is always next year!